Silver-Stool
0xb92449f0f035e2e9de00f1f9a8f19e0158af0803
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
175
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-754.64
Realised
$-210.52
Win rate
66%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 175- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.56
$-0.05
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$97.45
$-0.15
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.93
$0.05
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$96.75
$1.75
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.35
$-1.65
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
100 shares @ 97.0¢·now 87.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$87.40
$-9.60
- NO
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$75.64
$-18.36
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
60 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$53.40
$-1.20
- NO
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?
50 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$49.97
$1.92
- YES
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
46 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$46.18
$1.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$88.70May 18, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.01May 18, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$30.33May 18, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?$50.00May 18, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$88.19May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$1.88May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$93.81May 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$16.60May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.19May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.84May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$0.50May 18, 01:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.30May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$10.50May 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLJung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?$15.87May 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$93.15May 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?$18.34May 18, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$56.15May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$7.56May 17, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$115.64May 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$57.35May 17, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $44.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".