0xb989b25a8be5d1b1033a474a69abbf4978148f74
0xb989b25a8be5d1b1033a474a69abbf4978148f74
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$289.21
Total PnL
$-40.22
Realised
$-5.19
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
131 shares @ 58.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.98
$6.21
- YES
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
80 shares @ 75.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$40.23
$-20.56
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
127 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?
42 shares @ 68.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.60
$-0.26
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
158 shares @ 11.4¢·now 14.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.17
$4.17
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
67 shares @ 29.9¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.06
$-5.94
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
21 shares @ 65.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.60
$-0.35
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
60 shares @ 19.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
46 shares @ 21.6¢·now 24.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.34
$1.34
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 68.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.66
$-3.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?$13.62May 16, 07:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$5.00May 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$3.00May 15, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?$12.32May 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.93May 15, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12?$20.73May 12, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$0.00May 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 12, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?$2.02May 12, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$2.00May 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$4.08May 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.03May 12, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$5.76May 12, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12?$19.94May 12, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".