Angelic-Carnival
0xba3ce1a0a3cd1ab1f98981f3ce7350017de22e4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$41.9K
Total PnL
$738.19
Realised
$-287.48
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.6K
$-50.00
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
12328 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$10.2K
$61.64
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5000 shares @ 83.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.9K
$-315.99
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3300 shares @ 60.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$295.75
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2250 shares @ 62.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$753.75
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$994.00
$304.00
- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
1185 shares @ 68.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$681.56
$-132.61
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$535.00
$65.00
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
350 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$327.25
$26.25
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
269 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$262.14
$44.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.69May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$7.26May 17, 13:37 UTC
- YIELD$2.69May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$78.99May 16, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.55May 16, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.45May 16, 06:36 UTC
- YIELD$2.69May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$106.41May 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$74.77May 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.20May 15, 10:41 UTC
- YIELD$2.69May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.69May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.69May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.69May 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$3.6KMay 11, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.00May 11, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.44May 11, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 11, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 11, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 11, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".