Candid-Appeal
0xba440e07d381affbb5386dabe386584342937d2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
169
Open notional
$6.25
Total PnL
$-342.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 20?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.91
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.34
$0.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
105 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 5?
103 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 20?$6.13May 20, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 20?$5.26May 20, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 20?$4.99May 20, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?$2.17May 20, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 20?$4.81May 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 20?$3.75May 19, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 19?$2.64May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 19?$22.13May 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 19?$50.16May 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 19?$6.56May 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 19?$43.64May 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 19?$28.01May 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 19?$50.15May 18, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 19?$50.15May 18, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 19?$29.20May 18, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 19?$18.27May 18, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 18?$41.13May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 18?$33.75May 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 18?$16.39May 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on May 18?$50.22May 18, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $30.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".