Dearest-Agenda
0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2M
Total PnL
$-104.9K
Realised
$-182.6K
Win rate
63%
143 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
208422 shares @ 84.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.0K
$23.3K
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
171382 shares @ 80.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$170.1K
$31.5K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
89952 shares @ 71.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.2K
$9.6K
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
120394 shares @ 44.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$53.6K
$-15.41
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
52443 shares @ 58.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$52.1K
$21.3K
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
52140 shares @ 79.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$40.9K
$-643.30
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
38717 shares @ 69.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$38.4K
$11.4K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100595 shares @ 45.9¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.5K
$-9.7K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
343691 shares @ 4.3¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.7K
$15.0K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
437385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 6.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.5K
$18.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$197.00May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$6.13May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$20.22May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$15.84May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$3.06May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.64May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.99May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$23.88May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.91May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.67May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.63May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$193.80May 18, 04:07 UTC
- MERGEWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$200.00May 18, 04:04 UTC
- MERGERuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$444.00May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$116.33May 18, 04:04 UTC
- MERGERuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$597.70May 18, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 18, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$0.00May 18, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$0.00May 18, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$0.00May 18, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $299.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 143 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".