Lean-Attraction
0xbad26fe5458e6219cec3e40272760e275e835296
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$154.0K
Total PnL
$23.4K
Realised
$21.2K
Win rate
72%
93 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
7872 shares @ 86.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.3K
$490.06
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
8095 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$6.0K
$446.10
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
8416 shares @ 67.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.8K
$101.76
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5170 shares @ 85.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$437.82
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6096 shares @ 71.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.7K
$359.57
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
4795 shares @ 82.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$420.36
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
11390 shares @ 44.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.2K
$-853.73
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5407 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.1K
$351.46
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7861 shares @ 48.7¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.7K
$-170.11
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
3921 shares @ 83.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$321.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.68May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.71May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.65May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.67May 18, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$6.37May 18, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$2.09May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.42May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.85May 17, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.91May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$10.00May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.91May 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.64May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$198.89May 17, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.00May 17, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks$0.00May 17, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$0.00May 17, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 17, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $99.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 93 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".