Velvety-Logo
0xbae1798162d8e1bbe39862d0fe2656e4a7cebe54
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$7.87
Total PnL
$-495.92
Realised
$-20.06
Win rate
45%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mohammed Kudus be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
539 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.27
$-0.27
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Houston Texans next?
9 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.04
$0.03
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.12May 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.20May 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.76May 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.39May 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.25May 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.65May 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.57Apr 27, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.00Apr 21, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.43Apr 21, 14:12 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.20Apr 17, 00:30 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.72Apr 16, 00:30 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.56Apr 12, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Vancouver Canucks win the Western Conference?$0.00Apr 9, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Nashville Predators win the Central Division?$0.00Apr 9, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.00Apr 9, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stuttgart win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.00Apr 9, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMBased FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.00Apr 9, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Winnipeg Jets win the Central Division?$0.00Apr 9, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Tocchet win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.90Apr 6, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Tocchet win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.46Apr 6, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $12.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".