Villainous-Bead
0xbb319a173b13e7f2e04f60f86f85ae6fc9b60b4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$905.92
Total PnL
$-286.07
Realised
$-32.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
4140 shares @ 21.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$662.34
$-229.63
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
406 shares @ 24.6¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.86
$17.86
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
288 shares @ 34.7¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.42
$-23.58
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.00
$1.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.85
$1.35
- YES
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
356 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.58
$-1.04
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
80 shares @ 34.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.40
$-16.80
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.38
$0.07
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
30 shares @ 12.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.09
$-2.59
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.43May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$32.47May 16, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$95.15May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$374.56May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.12May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$25.46May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.55May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.55May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.55May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$50.92May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?$98.74May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$47.28May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$113.92May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$165.09May 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.50May 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$80.50May 16, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$12.00May 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$44.90May 14, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$1.30May 11, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.26May 11, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $64.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".