Decisive-Test
0xbb39ba863319281427a482c8714ffdf69cb7ee8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$38.2K
Total PnL
$5.4K
Realised
$5.5K
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
35000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.5K
$9.0K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
35000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.5K
$-9.0K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2222 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.2K
$290.40
- NO
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$268.50
$43.50
- NO
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
224 shares @ 88.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$211.45
$12.40
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
551 shares @ 25.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.98
$-13.78
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
155 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$118.66
$-2.33
- YES
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
736 shares @ 40.4¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.31
$-209.22
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
333 shares @ 33.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.26
$-41.62
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
90 shares @ 33.2¢·now 34.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$31.37
$1.48
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.84May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.84May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.84May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.84May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.84May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.84May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.84May 12, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 11, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.5KMay 11, 06:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.53May 11, 00:13 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.0KMay 10, 18:34 UTC
- YIELD$2.19May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.63May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCritical Discord Incident by May 31?$17.03May 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$532.68May 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$540.01May 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$155.83May 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.4KMay 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$139.10May 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$539.00May 8, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $269.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".