Lumbering-Cast-Paper
0xbc1c848d515f209ad177eda0e1cc606072c0545a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$71.17
Total PnL
$-169.06
Realised
$-24.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?
228 shares @ 81.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$62.80
$-122.98
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.38
$0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?
101 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.53
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?
3 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$16.20May 20, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$3.63May 20, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$3.36May 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$7.80May 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$6.02May 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$1.77May 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$9.36May 20, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$2.65May 20, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$0.09May 20, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$4.32May 20, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$2.56May 20, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$1.52May 20, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$9.89May 20, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$35.00May 20, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$28.69May 20, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$6.20May 20, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$7.74May 20, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$69.99May 20, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$6.77May 20, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$71.97May 20, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".