0xbc1f7dab95ecb23010f0dbff31056699674657f0
0xbc1f7dab95ecb23010f0dbff31056699674657f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$190.72
Total PnL
$175.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
32 shares @ 0.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.53
$28.53
- NO
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
26 shares @ 0.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$26.23
$26.23
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
194 shares @ 0.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.58
$14.58
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
22 shares @ 0.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.59
$13.59
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
11 shares @ 0.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.48
$9.48
- NO
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 68.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$4.05
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
143 shares @ 0.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.56
$8.56
- YES
Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.13
$8.13
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
8 shares @ 0.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$7.18
$7.18
- YES
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
31 shares @ 0.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.72
$6.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?$5.13May 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$5.12May 16, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$5.13May 16, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".