Incomparable-Dad
0xbc8bf8906d4f391ece5208e27c43327b9ec6b15e
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$223.18
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$32.23
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 17?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$50.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
56 shares @ 84.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.90
$1.50
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
35 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.35
$0.96
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
550 shares @ 40.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.75
$-196.75
- YES
French election called by June 30, 2026?
892 shares @ 27.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.60
$-225.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 55.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$-7.50
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
356 shares @ 41.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.76
$-140.04
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.25
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 18?$50.00May 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 18?$28.00May 17, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$100.49May 17, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$130.00May 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$80.00May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET$5.34May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$10.49May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$14.71May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$30.83May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$20.56May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET$21.04May 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$20.53May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10.20May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET$5.21May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$20.79May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$20.92May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$102.35May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$30.65May 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10.35May 16, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $24.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".