Impolite-Motel
0xbc8c61c1de7c31a8ff68aebf55256c028db9273f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$-413.76
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- ALANA SUBASIC
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Irem Kurt
2444 shares @ 80.9¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.4K
$-560.11
- NO
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
494680 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-494.68
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
117000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-117.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
75000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-159.90
- YES
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
63000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
49000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
37500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
30000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMAthletics vs. San Diego Padres$3.6KMay 25, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Irem Kurt$2.0KMay 25, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. San Diego Padres$3.3KMay 24, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$3.3KMay 24, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$3.0KMay 24, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves$3.8KMay 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves$2.9KMay 23, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$4.9KMay 23, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$4.4KMay 23, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$84.79May 23, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLHouston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs$4.5KMay 23, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs$2.6KMay 23, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$2.6KMay 23, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs$1.4KMay 23, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$1.4KMay 23, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$1.2KMay 23, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$1.2KMay 23, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.3KMay 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$309.62May 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$223.10May 23, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".