0xbcc8dc67dae4503dd5495e0ddd5ffaa779a14f89
0xbcc8dc67dae4503dd5495e0ddd5ffaa779a14f89
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$45.22
Total PnL
$-38.96
Realised
$-1.28
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 31.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.81
$8.81
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
46 shares @ 10.9¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.85
$-1.15
- NO
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
13 shares @ 37.9¢·now 28.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.82
$-1.18
- NO
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
16 shares @ 30.9¢·now 21.4¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.47
$-1.53
- YES
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$-1.82
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
221 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$-1.23
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
37 shares @ 13.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.38
$-2.62
- YES
Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
924 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.31
$-2.69
- YES
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
18 shares @ 18.7¢·now 10.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.95
$-1.39
- YES
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
111 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.84
$-1.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.08May 15, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?$0.00May 15, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.02May 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?$5.19May 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?$3.70May 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$0.81May 11, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 12?$1.29May 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 12?$3.95May 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$3.00May 11, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$0.60May 11, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$0.99May 11, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$1.26May 11, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$0.58May 11, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$0.94May 11, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$0.31May 11, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$2.76May 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$2.08May 10, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.03May 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.03May 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.03May 9, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".