Grotesque-Duel
0xbced9efd4922f71074dacf2f57cad5a6aaeb84e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$94.01
Total PnL
$-131.86
Realised
$1.08
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$12.17
$2.17
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.11
$6.11
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
66 shares @ 15.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.95
$0.95
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.33
$3.33
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.27
$3.27
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
8 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.26
$3.26
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.24
$3.24
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
43 shares @ 23.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.14
$-2.86
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 shares @ 32.5¢·now 31.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 6, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 00:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".