Tan-Server
0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$20.4K
Total PnL
$74.0K
Realised
$76.5K
Win rate
67%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
6537 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.5K
$246.13
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
6100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$460.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2971 shares @ 10.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.9K
$2.6K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
2031 shares @ 69.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$295.61
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
4100 shares @ 37.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$130.52
- YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
875 shares @ 65.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$874.54
$304.73
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
865 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$857.51
$34.31
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$770.00
$90.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
1150 shares @ 28.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$730.25
$408.25
- NO
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
500 shares @ 19.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$290.00
$195.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$500.00May 17, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.2KMay 17, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$4.9KMay 17, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$9.4KMay 17, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$457.34May 17, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$254.99May 17, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$12.3KMay 17, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$501.47May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.5KMay 17, 01:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$26.73May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$89.20May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$341.06May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$75.00May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.15May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.42May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$26.29May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.61May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$94.82May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$281.38May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$64.37May 16, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $199.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".