Confused-Shirtdress
0xbd0c118799183941726bc6d28d813ee7594d72c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$100.28
Total PnL
$-418.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.88
$0.88
- SPURS
Thunder vs. Spurs
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$19.82
$-0.18
- OVER
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-99.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$20.26May 21, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$10.15May 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$10.15May 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$10.14May 21, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$10.20May 21, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5$19.58May 20, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$10.37May 19, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5$10.15May 19, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$10.21May 19, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$10.16May 19, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$56.54May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$52.58May 18, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00May 16, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$9.80May 16, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.17May 16, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$10.38May 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$30.42May 16, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$20.37May 16, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5$60.00May 12, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5$60.00May 12, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 17:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".