Long-Term-Overhead
0xbd14da5083afdef8518339c2c1b7b19a491576b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-215.61
Realised
$-229.69
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
425 shares @ 84.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$359.23
$1.57
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
395 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$331.80
$7.90
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1131 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$288.40
$5.65
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
117 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$74.89
$0.00
- YES
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
45 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.10
$0.00
- YES
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
27 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$23.11
$0.40
- NO
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
26 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.18
$0.26
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.41
$0.00
- NO
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.76
$0.01
- YES
Will Seven Dark win LRS 2026 Split 1?
78 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$323.90May 18, 10:44 UTC
- REWARD$28.61May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$16.53May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$18.33May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$345.49May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?$38.86May 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?$33.76May 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?$9.60May 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: Joblife vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D$5.12May 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$31.50May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?$13.58May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?$15.00May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$339.80May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$41.73May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$465.84May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$167.76May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$151.07May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$1.4KMay 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$6.48May 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$7.84May 18, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $230.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".