Outlying-Personality
0xbd27db79205dd4b09832f16aadfdc34c81262807
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$50.4K
Total PnL
$5.7K
Realised
$103.50
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
23000 shares @ 82.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.1K
$1.1K
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
23344 shares @ 27.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.5K
$3.1K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5865 shares @ 83.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$188.96
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2000 shares @ 85.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$168.26
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5272 shares @ 24.1¢·now 30.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.6K
$310.60
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1600 shares @ 89.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-12.00
- NO
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
1000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$981.99
$222.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
1000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$978.99
$149.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$954.98
$374.99
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 88.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$925.48
$40.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.07May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$40.00May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.48May 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$16.51May 18, 05:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.56May 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$7.00May 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.01May 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$947.42May 16, 14:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$39.00May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$41.00May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$42.35May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$11.50May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.99May 15, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.82May 15, 06:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 14, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$0.00May 14, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $67.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".