Popular-Parent
0xbd2a0ff90582448ae319ce12bb27a9d44117db9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$59.29
Total PnL
$-5.52
Realised
$0.81
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.45
$0.27
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$0.47
- YES
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?
32 shares @ 18.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.44
$-1.53
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.43
$0.23
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.81
$-0.20
- YES
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
19 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$-1.11
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
22 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.84
$-1.40
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 16.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
6 shares @ 17.6¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.92
$-0.16
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
3 shares @ 25.8¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.80
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$1.30Mar 26, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?$0.50Mar 23, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?$1.13Mar 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLConsensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?$2.26Mar 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.99Mar 20, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$1.02Mar 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$1.02Mar 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$0.96Mar 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.97Mar 19, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$0.84Mar 19, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.16Mar 19, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$1.20Mar 19, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$0.03Mar 19, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.24Mar 19, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.18Mar 19, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$1.16Mar 18, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.83Mar 18, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$1.50Mar 18, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$0.18Mar 18, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.49Mar 18, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".