Scarce-Seller
0xbd735c8fd1a15c5565a8feb006eee77bcb742db4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.68
Total PnL
$-6.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.67
$0.87
- NO
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.01
$-2.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?$2.85May 21, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Apple" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$8.20May 21, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?$2.70May 20, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?$2.71May 19, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?$2.85May 19, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Apple" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$5.08May 19, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?$1.60May 19, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?$4.05May 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.66May 14, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.00May 14, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill King Charles say "Gas" during State Opening?$0.01May 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "Gas" during State Opening?$3.10May 13, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.25May 10, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?$3.00May 7, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?$5.00May 7, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?$2.25May 6, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "China" in Des Moines?$4.17May 6, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?$4.65May 6, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.05May 6, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?$2.05May 5, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".