Earnest-Dryer
0xbd995dd7d763a1249bff23639d4fae8fee652e66
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$426.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
623 shares @ 75.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$587.56
$117.33
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$555.00
$33.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
600 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$546.00
$18.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
800 shares @ 55.3¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$540.00
$98.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
630 shares @ 76.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$494.55
$10.55
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
560 shares @ 81.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$490.00
$33.20
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 65.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$382.50
$57.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 60.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$338.00
$98.00
- NO
California voter ID referendum passes?
377 shares @ 55.6¢·now 61.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$229.80
$20.16
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
200 shares @ 89.9¢·now 91.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.40
$3.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$600.00May 16, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$252.15May 12, 15:25 UTC
- REWARD$2.14May 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$522.00May 5, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$380.00May 5, 19:51 UTC
- REWARD$3.31May 5, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.69May 4, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$3.54May 3, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$102.66May 1, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$77.14May 1, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?$3.25May 1, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?$210.06May 1, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$530.53May 1, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$240.00May 1, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$492.00May 1, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$348.00May 1, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$207.00May 1, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$325.00May 1, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$879.34May 1, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$3.2KMay 1, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $215.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".