Squeaky-Weather
0xbe847a8e993e0f614ddafc90ea9ae466723de34e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-45.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
311 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$306.04
$6.04
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
311 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$305.75
$5.75
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
354 shares @ 70.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$263.50
$13.50
- NO
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
297 shares @ 79.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.88
$5.88
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
203 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.19
$15.20
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
177 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.89
$0.89
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
127 shares @ 78.8¢·now 76.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.28
$-2.72
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
166 shares @ 60.2¢·now 53.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$88.88
$-11.12
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
298 shares @ 33.6¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.55
$-34.45
- NO
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.74
$-44.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$86.00May 14, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$100.00May 14, 12:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$186.09May 6, 10:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 2, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $110.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".