Nautical-Placement
0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$73.4K
Total PnL
$2.1K
Realised
$112.28
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
23362 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$23.2K
$85.58
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
10589 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.4K
$24.73
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
7903 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.2K
$149.59
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
6535 shares @ 86.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.4K
$760.67
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7039 shares @ 81.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.5K
$-285.92
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
5315 shares @ 89.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$56.97
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
5316 shares @ 69.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$942.64
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
2776 shares @ 75.7¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$259.21
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
1520 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-6.92
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
1307 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$23.20
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?$26.60May 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$102.12May 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$47.88May 17, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$102.12May 17, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$1000.00May 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$288.94May 17, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.00May 16, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 16, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by May 31?$0.00May 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$29.83May 16, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$94.10May 16, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?$481.89May 16, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$103.62May 16, 03:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$255.52May 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$10.39May 15, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$10.39May 15, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $385.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".