Glaring-Pain
0xbeffb2418b31ad29527ef79ae8f4bc6e118508e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-88.79
Realised
$0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2120 shares @ 52.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.0K
$-90.17
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
743 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$598.07
$3.71
- YES
Will BMO fail by end of 2026?
123 shares @ 8.2¢·now 10.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.17
$3.17
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.00
$3.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.15
$1.15
- YES
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.09
$1.09
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.56
$0.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.18May 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$10.36May 19, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.64May 19, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt by 2027?$4.19May 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.00May 19, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 19, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$5.00May 19, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 19, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$4.64May 19, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$5.00May 19, 08:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $55 in May?$2.94May 18, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $55 in May?$7.27May 18, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?$6.28May 18, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt before 2027?$3.00May 18, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Truist fail by end of 2026?$10.00May 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BMO fail by end of 2026?$10.00May 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$10.44May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.48May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$10.36May 18, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $39.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".