Inconsequential-Marble
0xbf40db946351014aa04989505c64881413f09e76
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$763.31
Total PnL
$-76.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?
428 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$423.43
$-2.05
- CRISTINA BUCSA
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa
294 shares @ 37.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$145.65
$36.88
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$53.13
$3.93
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
56 shares @ 66.9¢·now 65.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$36.22
$-1.06
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
47 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$25.84
$0.47
- YES
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
44 shares @ 82.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$22.98
$-12.91
- YES
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
300 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$16.95
$6.75
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
94 shares @ 9.4¢·now 12.8¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$11.95
$3.14
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.25
$-4.75
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
150 shares @ 7.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.83
$-3.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$74.27May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$31.82May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$64.70May 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$8.76May 17, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$3.72May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$111.21May 17, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?$34.06May 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?$166.51May 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?$38.05May 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?$172.14May 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marseille qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?$51.79May 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marseille qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?$10.72May 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$17.41May 17, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$45.08May 17, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?$34.90May 17, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$100.83May 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?$2.76May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?$3.47May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.57May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.70May 16, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $29.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".