Realistic-Trumpet
0xbf6dc9143d46c2a41973160f96e3a52ed5dcb464
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$412.70
Total PnL
$-69.48
Realised
$4.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 18?
377 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$376.81
$0.67
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$15.28
$5.28
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.46
$1.46
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 76.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.72
$1.72
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.43
$-0.07
- YES
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?
15 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?
15 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 18?$276.48May 16, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 18?$99.72May 16, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 14?$98.00May 16, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 15?$140.00May 16, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 15?$240.00May 16, 04:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 14?$97.91May 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 15?$139.87May 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 15?$239.78May 13, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 11?$477.68May 13, 05:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 11?$477.05May 9, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 8?$476.65May 9, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $297.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".