Scholarly-Mansard
0xbfacb35bec2f9c7289808c26926302014cd2490f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$196.36
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-11.21
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
80 shares @ 87.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.03
$-0.97
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.83
$-0.17
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 74.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.36
$-2.64
- NO
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
24 shares @ 83.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$23.43
$3.43
- NO
Will Trump say "Skirmish" during Coast Guard event?
28 shares @ 71.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$23.10
$3.10
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.46
$3.46
- NO
Will Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.14
$-9.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ET
462 shares @ 86.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
355 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
351 shares @ 85.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-298.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$20.00May 19, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Skirmish" during Coast Guard event?$20.23May 19, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event?$20.22May 19, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Magnet" this week?$31.33May 18, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$52.91May 17, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$103.33May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.00May 16, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Magnet" this week?$30.05May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$50.14May 16, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$20.13May 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$100.16May 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$50.00May 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$93.00May 13, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$53.13May 9, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$50.15May 8, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$102.85May 8, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$100.14May 8, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.00May 8, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$60.09May 8, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $29.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 04:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".