0xc02147dee42356b7a4edbb1c35ac4ffa95f61fa8
0xc02147dee42356b7a4edbb1c35ac4ffa95f61fa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$591.8K
Total PnL
$110.5K
Realised
$102.1K
Win rate
87%
71 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
147816 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$140.4K
$1.8K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
165614 shares @ 67.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.1K
$2.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
46124 shares @ 92.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.0K
$1.4K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
42045 shares @ 72.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.9K
$533.76
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
73712 shares @ 37.6¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.7K
$-1.0K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
23934 shares @ 92.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.2K
$1.0K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
23464 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.9K
$-77.27
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
28201 shares @ 82.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.1K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
19000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.7K
$-78.47
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
21003 shares @ 77.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.3K
$1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.0KMay 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$62.34May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$212.00May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$48.38May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$29.72May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$6.99May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$47.28May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$35.84May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.0KMay 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$891.28May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.03May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.03May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$98.66May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$200.00May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$6.98May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.41May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$66.08May 18, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$41.61May 18, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$210.00May 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$13.38May 18, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $587.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 71 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".