Uncommon-Sibling
0xc0402e527a464e782bca96f802c77e5db8d8beac
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$10.9K
Total PnL
$3.1K
Realised
$8.5K
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
3764 shares @ 76.3¢·now 68.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.6K
$-285.63
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10500 shares @ 21.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-963.45
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
4056 shares @ 26.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$831.55
$-224.35
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2805 shares @ 51.5¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$827.53
$-617.90
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$625.00
$295.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
6517 shares @ 18.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$619.14
$-562.70
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1506 shares @ 28.5¢·now 30.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$453.23
$23.36
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
12973 shares @ 12.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$421.62
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
7570 shares @ 14.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$416.37
$-674.88
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
922 shares @ 38.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$373.27
$23.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$210.46May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$52.78May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.30May 17, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00May 17, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.47May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.85May 17, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.63May 17, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 17, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.25May 17, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.80May 17, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00May 17, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.64May 17, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.37May 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.29May 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$40.18May 17, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$73.08May 17, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$7.89May 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.77May 17, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$400.79May 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.36May 17, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $99.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".