Mundane-Creativity
0xc040a72ece84d506a35e8188a0b3a91e389ac411
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$41.12
Total PnL
$-3.76
Realised
$4.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
65 shares @ 38.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.52
$-6.23
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
40 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.60
$-0.20
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$0.60
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 20?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.25
$1.01
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
14 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 20?
15 shares @ 3.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.75
$0.30
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.63
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 20?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.57
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 20?$0.21May 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 20?$0.24May 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 20?$1.05May 20, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 20?$0.50May 20, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 20?$0.74May 20, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$4.25May 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$2.00May 20, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$0.01May 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?$1.45May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 20?$0.31May 20, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$1.16May 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$0.83May 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$1.85May 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 20?$0.60May 20, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$0.52May 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on May 20?$1.29May 20, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$1.56May 20, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 20?$0.16May 20, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 20?$1.15May 20, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.20May 19, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".