Unlucky-Pony
0xc130b956817d56520df39e12f35645b9501483f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$790.97
Total PnL
$-866.99
Realised
$11.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
914 shares @ 31.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$233.13
$-56.88
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13713 shares @ 5.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$226.26
$-483.72
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
2760 shares @ 10.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$151.79
$-148.21
- YES
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
18665 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$102.65
$-64.32
- YES
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
4240 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$23.32
$2.32
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
30 shares @ 66.7¢·now 62.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$18.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$9.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$8.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1687 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.90
$-4.09
- YES
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1646 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.11
$-5.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?$50.00Apr 26, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.80 in January?$3.51Apr 20, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$116.36Apr 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.00Apr 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$20.00Mar 29, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.00Mar 29, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$8.95Mar 29, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$10.00Mar 29, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.6KMar 28, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$90.00Mar 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.3KMar 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$148.39Mar 8, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$21.00Mar 8, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8?$1.00Mar 8, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$10.00Mar 8, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$6.00Mar 8, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Mar 8, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$100.00Mar 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$100.00Mar 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?$782.01Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $354.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".