Cold-Piano
0xc19ac10345e01a3c26a242b30064c17c3f6866f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$8.45
Total PnL
$-0.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- NO
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.6¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$1.27Apr 22, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?$0.00Apr 16, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?$1.31Apr 13, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$0.00Apr 11, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$1.00Apr 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?$1.00Apr 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?$1.00Apr 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$1.00Apr 9, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.26Apr 8, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.05Apr 8, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.05Apr 8, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$5.00Apr 8, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic acquired before 2027?$1.00Apr 3, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.41Mar 24, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".