Immense-Supernatural
0xc1e51a0e0ab9f10e2d489b312e35ad8b220dc5df
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$437.46
Total PnL
$-15.40
Realised
$22.23
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 7.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.00
$5.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
45 shares @ 89.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.37
$1.37
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 58.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.38
$7.97
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.13
$1.13
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.08
$1.08
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
23 shares @ 59.3¢·now 93.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.05
$7.64
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
22 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.16
$0.79
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 88.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.78
$-0.22
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.79
$-4.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$0.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 18, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-5.5)$13.39May 18, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-4.5)$15.00May 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-3.5)$16.30May 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-2.5)$17.44May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$14.42May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5$0.00May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5$0.00May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5$0.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$0.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5$0.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5$0.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.42May 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$15.69May 18, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$0.00May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$5.08May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-8.5)$7.63May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-8.5)$7.59May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-5.5)$7.60May 18, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $7.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".