Fuzzy-Margin
0xc1f50db5c7060b7a8be40491359ebe57b34ec967
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.11
Total PnL
$-0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on May 19?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.03
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on May 19?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.03
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 110-111°F on May 19?
48 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.02
$-0.02
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?
26 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 112-113°F on May 19?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on May 19?
18 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on May 19?
9 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
- UP
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 19?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- UP
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 19?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?$26.61May 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?$26.36May 20, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 20?$0.05May 20, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.40May 20, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.02May 20, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?$0.03May 20, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$0.02May 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$0.02May 20, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 112-113°F on May 19?$0.00May 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on May 19?$0.03May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on May 19?$0.05May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on May 19?$0.05May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?$0.00May 20, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.12May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on May 19?$0.01May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 112-113°F on May 19?$0.03May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on May 19?$0.05May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 110-111°F on May 19?$0.05May 20, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$17.12May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?$0.05May 19, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".