Vivacious-Grapefruit
0xc1fd9dd14bef4341dbe82ca74e9fa116ea25ba6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$142.2K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$627.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
46961 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.3K
$710.89
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
40000 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.6K
$116.64
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25000 shares @ 83.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.4K
$-1.5K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
10000 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.0K
$235.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
10000 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.8K
$145.01
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8502 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.4K
$182.80
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
3228 shares @ 65.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.2K
$1.1K
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.5K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
5000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.1K
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
2175 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$65.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.24May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.24May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.24May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.24May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.26May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$603.96May 14, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$2.24May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.23May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.24May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.21May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.29May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.37May 8, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.55May 7, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$2.35May 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.7KMay 6, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$22.56May 6, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$6.70May 6, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$388.24May 6, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$407.06May 6, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$284.86May 6, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $972.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".