Vain-Shadowbox
0xc230d03c421495ec7bde14c9231bd87967d97971
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$86.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
563 shares @ 60.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$562.73
$220.45
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
332 shares @ 64.4¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$224.38
$10.27
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
175 shares @ 82.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$146.44
$1.38
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
120 shares @ 83.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$117.75
$17.75
- YES
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.00
$10.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
96 shares @ 83.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.17
$-5.78
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.82
$0.82
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.27
$0.27
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
167 shares @ 56.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$45.03
$-48.39
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?
55 shares @ 91.3¢·now 71.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$38.87
$-11.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $56.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".