Disguised-Randomization
0xc278143b0a9a06d236936bc742e516de13472d19
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$29.5K
Total PnL
$14.3K
Realised
$-898.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
24761 shares @ 4.0¢·now 68.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.0K
$16.0K
- NO
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
4204 shares @ 59.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$463.51
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3012 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$135.55
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
2703 shares @ 92.5¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$22.98
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
5038 shares @ 41.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$276.29
- YES
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
2997 shares @ 64.6¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-709.03
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
2092 shares @ 37.1¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$805.46
$28.68
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?
15444 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.28May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.1KMay 14, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$1.1KMay 14, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$975.24May 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$977.32May 13, 13:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$776.78May 5, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$5.1KMay 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$2.5KMay 5, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".