Notable-Tin
0xc31516291191961a882c5b6e22fe9ba8035afe18
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$87.0K
Total PnL
$6.9K
Realised
$5.4K
Win rate
86%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
12000 shares @ 92.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.5K
$360.76
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
11000 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.9K
$112.32
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
7901 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.8K
$-38.20
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
7000 shares @ 92.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.8K
$358.38
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
6938 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.8K
$-12.40
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
6000 shares @ 87.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$-59.97
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
4330 shares @ 87.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$24.97
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
4000 shares @ 85.2¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$264.34
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
3349 shares @ 92.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$30.28
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
3000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$84.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.01May 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.50May 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$982.00May 18, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$982.00May 18, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$987.00May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$987.00May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$987.00May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$156.37May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$985.00May 18, 10:29 UTC
- REWARD$3.00May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.20May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.41May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$829.63May 18, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.00May 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.04May 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.6KMay 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$409.35May 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.93May 18, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.93May 18, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 18, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $569.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".