0xc3c5a293f4e0708195647fcd07d901b7aca366e8
0xc3c5a293f4e0708195647fcd07d901b7aca366e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$129.35
Total PnL
$-62.76
Realised
$-17.64
Win rate
28%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
19 shares @ 7.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.23
$17.73
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 48.9¢·now 91.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.89
$8.76
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 66.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$13.40
$4.40
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.76
$0.26
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 71.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.80
$1.56
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
6 shares @ 69.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.71
$1.71
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 84.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.55
$0.71
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.16
$-1.10
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.18May 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.05May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.57May 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$2.22May 17, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.54May 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.37May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.50May 16, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.19May 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$1.93May 16, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.57May 15, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.04May 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00May 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00May 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00May 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$2.00May 15, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$0.63May 15, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$2.00May 14, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$2.00May 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00May 14, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 20:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".