Serpentine-Illusion
0xc412fdbe9956c2e242e8b45fae131c3e8598592d
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$-332.70
Realised
$-235.23
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
1275 shares @ 65.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$212.51
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1000 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$999.50
$2.50
- NO
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
1000 shares @ 84.8¢·now 75.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$757.99
$-90.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?
707 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$701.46
$21.73
- YES
Will "Obsession" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
600 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$599.70
$4.30
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
600 shares @ 81.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$579.90
$93.90
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
500 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$481.75
$3.25
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$387.50
$-22.50
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
407 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$367.92
$14.19
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
437 shares @ 72.0¢·now 77.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$339.35
$25.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$176.00May 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$35.42May 18, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$64.08May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$99.70May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$98.53May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$19.98May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$13.99May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$1.66May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.01May 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.20May 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.80May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$0.42May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.00May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.25May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.65May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$3.17May 18, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$1.90May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$3.00May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$1.55May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$1.06May 18, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $31.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".