Humiliating-Bonding
0xc44996541c539aa929047078766919bb5da1037c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$300.62
Total PnL
$11.18
Realised
$26.91
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
60 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.50
$1.50
- NO
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
53 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.97
$0.27
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.77
$5.27
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.50
$1.00
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.75
$0.25
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.84
$1.32
- NO
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
68 shares @ 28.7¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.59
$-1.85
- NO
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.53
$0.26
- YES
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.18
$0.04
- NO
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
38 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$34.49May 18, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$49.40May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$36.00May 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$11.70May 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$4.26May 16, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$36.19May 13, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.20May 11, 10:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$37.52May 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$26.45May 10, 10:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$1.05May 9, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1.02May 9, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$11.07May 9, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$21.93May 9, 17:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$4.03May 8, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$0.65May 8, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$14.72May 8, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $16.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".