0xc46b244b0b4fd59a4d5b6ab7b194b01a12dfeca2
0xc46b244b0b4fd59a4d5b6ab7b194b01a12dfeca2
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$176.82
Total PnL
$-7.34
Realised
$-0.43
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.83
$-8.18
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
23 shares @ 61.6¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.01
$0.65
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
13 shares @ 68.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.30
$4.17
- NO
Waymo IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.43
$0.43
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.96
$-0.05
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
13 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.71
$0.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
15 shares @ 63.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.34
$-0.96
- NO
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.05
$2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$5.00May 18, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$6.05May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$5.00May 16, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$5.00May 16, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00May 16, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00May 16, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$5.00May 16, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$5.00May 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$24.94May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.00May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.00May 16, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$12.00May 16, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.00May 16, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.00May 16, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.00May 16, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$12.45May 16, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.98May 16, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.00May 15, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.99May 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00May 15, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".