Cultivated-Heron
0xc4b53d227a8eab92a9d6f49d4ac4bf3d35890221
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$132.78
Total PnL
$-85.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 18 2026?
134 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$132.78
$-0.72
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13?
1578 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
1109 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
925 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 13?
743 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10?
738 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 18 2026?$133.51May 22, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?$133.13May 22, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?$133.01May 21, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?$133.27May 21, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?$133.02May 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$124.83May 20, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz$1.13May 20, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$125.03May 20, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$123.84May 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$124.03May 20, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$134.14May 20, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$134.01May 19, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$7.72May 19, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$1.98May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$4.46May 18, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$133.13May 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$133.01May 17, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$132.13May 17, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$132.01May 16, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of May 11 2026?$132.90May 16, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $101.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 06:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".