Remote-Log
0xc4c62aa80878cc35c0df1fcee13a5834fdc463c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
114
Open notional
$288.79
Total PnL
$-39.45
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.50
$58.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
37 shares @ 57.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.09
$14.09
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.53
$3.53
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
13 shares @ 76.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.79
$2.79
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-6.60
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3 shares @ 79.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 71.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3 shares @ 30.4¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 shares @ 87.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00May 3, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$1.00May 3, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00May 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$2.04May 3, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.01May 3, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$1.01May 3, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.05May 3, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$1.15May 3, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.16May 3, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?$1.18May 3, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$1.22May 3, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.49May 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.00Apr 21, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$1.05Apr 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Apr 10, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.22Apr 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$1.00Apr 7, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".