0xc4f8cb329ea0637fd26ca0d600392c50a5ac8a4a
0xc4f8cb329ea0637fd26ca0d600392c50a5ac8a4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$23.5K
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$263.80
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
45205 shares @ 16.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.2K
$2.6K
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
38655 shares @ 16.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.3K
$2.1K
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
22589 shares @ 10.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-976.74
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
58557 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.2K
$-1.9K
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
16016 shares @ 18.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$880.86
$-2.1K
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
27465 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$727.83
$-447.49
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
36195 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$434.34
$-834.74
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
33333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$300.00
$-202.57
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
11900 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-590.85
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
10000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.24May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.42May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.56May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.49May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.49May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.24May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.47May 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.23May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.95May 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.62May 18, 01:19 UTC
- YIELD$1.99May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.89May 17, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.19May 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.41May 17, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.30May 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.50May 17, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$25.20May 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$32.39May 17, 02:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.25May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.98May 17, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $36.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".