Honest-Polliwog
0xc6569c738ee00245bf88e346aacee8e45633aa88
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.9K
Total PnL
$-521.04
Realised
$989.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
3339 shares @ 38.0¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$1.5K
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
2000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 89.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$695.37
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
27264 shares @ 13.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10000 shares @ 14.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$600.00
$-887.63
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4000 shares @ 23.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$340.00
$-579.93
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
18986 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$218.33
$6.78
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2000 shares @ 8.3¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.00
$34.40
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10736 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$155.67
$-136.67
- YES
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?
2000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-180.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$144.54May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$548.44May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$55.20May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$216.35May 18, 03:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.20May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.54May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$43.10May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$8.96May 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$33.08May 17, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.50May 17, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$135.84May 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.65May 17, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.65May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.64May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.50May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.02May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.50May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.00May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$17.70May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.84May 17, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $36.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".