Expensive-Struggle
0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$57.5K
Total PnL
$-89.3K
Realised
$21.4K
Win rate
77%
121 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13740 shares @ 36.4¢·now 38.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.2K
$234.45
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
19118 shares @ 21.2¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.8K
$689.54
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14695 shares @ 39.1¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.6K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3908 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.9K
$286.29
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
4257 shares @ 57.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$369.42
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5180 shares @ 50.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.3K
$-301.82
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
2710 shares @ 75.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.3K
$220.25
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
3688 shares @ 60.8¢·now 60.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$-26.69
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1976 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.8K
$87.93
- NO
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1347 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.3K
$448.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$2.77May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?$27.23May 18, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?$0.98May 18, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$8.84May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$0.92May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.34May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$0.78May 18, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?$2.79May 18, 00:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.79May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?$17.42May 18, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?$10.27May 18, 00:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$2.80May 18, 00:13 UTC
- MERGEWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$100.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- MERGEWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?$578.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.45May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?$1.30May 18, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$59.48May 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$411.12May 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$58.73May 18, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$7.56May 18, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $45.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 121 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".