Gracious-Fame
0xc7e53ac4a7c76d6df8b794de2e7d0794265d2d3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$42.2K
Total PnL
$-170.0K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
29%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
8488 shares @ 61.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.0K
$-267.27
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8622 shares @ 44.9¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.4K
$566.34
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
7571 shares @ 29.0¢·now 58.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.4K
$2.2K
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4444 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.0K
$-22.22
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
40960 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.9K
$130.50
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
3347 shares @ 29.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.9K
$924.30
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 31.5¢·now 34.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.7K
$157.01
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
43456 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.7K
$406.57
- YES
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
3808 shares @ 34.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$1.7K
$400.35
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
14574 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.7K
$145.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.10May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.91May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$7.32May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.43May 18, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$300.00May 18, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$370.37May 18, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$400.00May 18, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$454.55May 18, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$461.93May 18, 02:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.45May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?$0.57May 17, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?$287.31May 17, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$246.87May 17, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$102.25May 17, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$146.15May 17, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$122.58May 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.07May 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.43May 17, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.31May 17, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $52.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".