Uneven-Neighborhood
0xc81c1df1f183e1b137119e590e9d7b64e805e454
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-475.06
Realised
$128.93
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
900 shares @ 74.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$526.53
$-139.47
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1862 shares @ 35.4¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$462.69
$-197.31
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2407 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$400.76
$-16.57
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
528 shares @ 63.5¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$339.61
$4.69
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 65.2¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$307.50
$-18.50
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2098 shares @ 10.2¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$208.71
$-4.35
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
324 shares @ 64.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$205.73
$-2.21
- YES
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
169 shares @ 83.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$142.72
$1.52
- YES
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
1479 shares @ 10.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.93
$-38.04
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
270 shares @ 38.8¢·now 27.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$74.39
$-30.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$10.61May 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.48May 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.91May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$11.80May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.88May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$56.54May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$77.58May 18, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?$0.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$0.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.63May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.25May 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$176.00May 17, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$774.46May 17, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $61.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".